Thursday, May 6, 2021

100 new cities by 2050: Architecture, planning, urban design, infrastructure and real estate

FURTHER to last week’s article, I want to continue sharing with you global best practices and model cities that we can follow for our future cities.


As I mentioned in the previous article, the Philippines will need 100 new cities by 2050 as our population is projected to increase to 148.3 million by that time.


Polycentric cities


According to the Council on Tall Buildings and Urban Habitat’s (CTBUH) definition, tall polycentric cities have three or more clusters of tall buildings that are clearly separated, visually and geographically. These clusters are a group of buildings that are significantly taller than the surrounding urban fabric and are visually and geographically distinct, with at least five buildings (completed or topped out) of at least 100 or 150 meters, depending on local height context. I am a fellow, regional leader, and country representative of the Chicago-based CTBUH.


In polycentric cities, multiple economic centers distribute resources and inclusive growth among towns and cities, allowing other areas and regions to be developed properly. This is the opposite of urban sprawl, which is the rapid expansion of the geographic extent of cities and towns, often characterized by low-density residential housing, single-use zoning and increased reliance on private automobiles for transportation. This definition certainly suits Metro Manila: low-density and gated communities within the business districts and inefficient mass transportation system forcing many to opt for private vehicles. Monocentric city development causes sprawl development toward the outskirts of the core. Just like in Metro Manila, the distance from the CBDs affects the housing type and affordability, hence employees cannot afford the housing stock close to their places of work.


Livable cities


According to the Global Liveability Index 2019, the world’s most livable city is Vienna, followed by Melbourne, Sydney, Osaka, Calgary, Vancouver, Tokyo, Toronto, Copenhagen and Adelaide. For the second year in a row, Vienna ranked No.1 for its high scores in stability, culture and environment, education, and infrastructure and health care. Vienna’s exceptional and progressive housing system offers superior yet affordable housing to residents. In fact, 62 percent of its residents live in social housing. For its infrastructure programs, the city allotted €1.3 billion, or $1.4 billion, to ensure that its water and energy supply and wastewater management can serve the projected population of the city.


Resilient cities


In 2014, the top 10 most resilient cities identified were Toronto, Vancouver, Calgary, Chicago, Pittsburgh, Stockholm, Boston, Zurich, Washington, D.C., and Atlanta. Their resiliency scores were based on their “adaptive capacity” to react to categories of vulnerabilities like climate change, resources, environment, and infrastructure, among others. Part of Toronto’s “resilience strategy” are road maps to retrofit and improve the city’s more than 1,000 apartment towers, enhance a sustainable and resilient food system, scale up green and blue infrastructure systems, address housing needs, and increase flood resilience, among others.


Walkable, bikeable cities


Last year, the Institute for Transportation and Development Study released a study showing a list of the most walkable cities in the world, which included London, Paris, Bogota, Hong Kong and Tokyo. The study also presented the numerous benefits of walkability, such as it makes cities more equitable, it is good for people’s health and the environment, it has a safe and reliable mode of transportation, especially when social distancing is required, and it helps people save money if their daily needs can be accessed through walking instead of using private vehicles, among others.


For the world’s most bike-friendly cities, the 2019 Copenhagenize Index included Copenhagen, Amsterdam, Utrecht, Antwerp, Strasbourg, Bordeaux, Oslo, Paris, Vienna and Helsinki. As you will observe, the list is dominated by European countries that are famous for setting this global best practice. In Copenhagen, 62 percent of the people use their bikes for trips to work or school, there are more than 104 miles of new cycle highways, and there has been “more than $45 per capita in bicycle infrastructure investments.”


Transport-oriented development


According to the World Bank, transit-oriented development is a “planning and design strategy that consists of promoting urban development that is compact, mixed-use, pedestrian- and bicycle-friendly, and closely integrated with mass transit by clustering jobs, housing, services, and amenities around public transport stations.” The World Bank also recognized Stockholm, Copenhagen, Hong Kong, Tokyo and Singapore as having successfully applied this concept.


Mixed-use developments


In contrast to single, stand-alone developments, mixed-use developments are characterized by the Urban Land Institute as: 1) having three or more mutually supporting, revenue-generating uses such as offices, residential condominiums, retail, restaurants, hotels and others; 2) with significant physical and functional integrations, including pedestrianization; and 3) developed in conformity with a coherent plan. This type of development is seen as ideal for urban renewal and revitalization where people of all ages can live their best lives in communities that blend residential, commercial, cultural, institutional, and natural spaces.


Better connectivity


Connectivity goes beyond the physical, beyond the distribution systems — roads, mass transit and communications. Connectivity refers to the integration of activities that define the character of the city, including its social, economic and cultural links. Improving connectivity can be achieved by infusing new activity to areas outside the city core or by creating new development corridors between these outlying areas and the core.


I had the opportunity to write and publish more than 700 articles and three books about global best practices. I have given lectures and attended speaking engagements in 20 countries and applied these best practices and principles in 40 countries through projects that I was part of as architect, urban planner, environmental planner and development consultant.


Based on what I have learned through the years, we should not wait until 2050 to transform our communities, towns and cities to become more sustainable, inclusive, healthy and resilient. It is urgent that we learn from the design and planning mistakes of Metro Manila and apply global best practices that have helped transform cities into exemplars of good architecture, planning and urban design.


https://www.manilatimes.net/2021/05/06/opinion/columnists/topanalysis/100-new-cities-by-2050-architecture-planning-urban-design-infrastructure-and-real-estate-2/870277

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